Thursday, October 16, 2008

The End

I just realized this is the end of this blog. Tomorrow morning, I’m going to see my brother in Västerås again. And since he just moved, he hasn’t an internet connection installed yet. And next week, since I don’t have any lessons, I figure I might just go to Paris to see a very, very important person to me. I miss her and I’d love to see her. I don’t really know what to say, this being the very last input to this blog; but if I would just say one thing, I’d say that we already, in this moment, live in the future! It is already here. Like most people in my generation, I’m so accustomed to the globalization of the world that I’ve stopped thinking about it. Today, we can go see our friends all over, traveling being rather cheap and available for all. Next year, me and my fellow trend spotter Philip, will go to China two times to live, study and work. It is not at all strange. Just one or two generations ago, we would be adventurers. Today, it is perfectly safe and sane to go halfway round the world to do such things. One of the best things with this course is that it got me thinking more brightly about the future. To me, there will always be dystopias, but nevertheless, the world today is better, safer and more liberated than it has ever been. And I’ll think it’ll be even better in the future!

One thing that I also feel somewhat obliged to comment is the tragic school shootings in Finland. Just thirteen days before the school shooting in Kauhajoki, I wrote this post about the school shooting in Jokela (which you can read here: http://trendspottingandfuturethinking.blogspot.com/2008/09/fear-and-terror.html). One important conclusion is that people are ants. We do as others have done before us. The second Finnish gun man (which you can read about here: http://trendspottingandfuturethinking.blogspot.com/2008/09/new-school-shooting-in-finland.html) also put together a sort of press-kit, posted clips on YouTube and more or less copied the terrorist act in Jokela. Further, it’s all a question of time until something similar happens in Sweden, I’m afraid. The internet is the greatest invention of our time, but it has also made these two young men famous. And there is really nothing we could do about it. Or even should. Something in our world has changed. The technology of Internet, but also the ethics in journalism, has changed. And there is no turning back.

When thinking about the future, we must be aware of huge contradictions. Nothing is black and white. Some men thought the nuclear bomb would, with some game theory in the background, put an end to all wars. Some years later, people are worried that the nuclear bomb will put an end to all living species. In my predictions, on this blog, during the past weeks, I might have overlooked some things. The more you analyze things, the more you realize anything can happen, turning your analysis upside-down. In this course, I think that thinking about the future has been more important than the conclusions it reached. I’ve learned a lot, from my teachers, my classmates, and even myself.

It even feels a bit sad that it is over. I guess there is still a lot to be said, but, instead of going into that, I’d like to play this little video instead. Cause´ how can I better end this than to play one of the best bands there were, performing one of the best songs to one of the best movies ever made, based on one of the best books ever written? I present to you, the Doors, with pictures from Apocalypse Now directed by Francis Ford Coppola, based on Heart of Darkness by Joseph Conrad. The song is called: This is the end.



Thank You for Your Time!

Final Presentations!

Tonight we all had our final presentations in Konstfack! I was surprised by how good most of the presentations were. I especially liked “The Future of Teenagers”. That was a great one. I am kind of pleased with our own presentation, “The Future of Personal Finance” as well. As a matter of fact, our presentation isn’t finished yet. It is up and available at thisisnotapresentation.blogspot.com. The idea for the format of the presentation I had when I thought about a painting of a pipe by Magritte, saying “This is not a pipe” in French. At first, one may be confused, but after a while, one realizes that it isn’t a pipe, but a picture of a pipe. Likewise, our presentation today is not really the presentation – but more so a presentation of the presentation.



Go visit the blog, and you’ll have the presentation there. It’s available from any place, at any time. That's the way of the future!

Since I got home, I’ve been listening to Johnny Cash, which felt natural after all this talk about the future of personal finance =) And then I was suddenly in the mood for this really funny little cowboy game. Don’t start – it’ll get you addicted! I know it'll keep me up all night.

Smokin Barrels

Sunday, October 12, 2008

A New Kind of Celebrity

I was just thinking about the classic Andy Warhol quote, when reading this article: www.aftonbladet.se/wendela/article3466170.ab



This 17-year old Norwegian girl Cathrine is protesting against all the responsibilities one can have when one turns 18, so she decided to do everything she can on her birthday: get married to a complete stranger, take a bank loan, get drunk and change her name – to Bunny Fökk. She seems like a really cool girl, with a very good sense of humor. In Norway, you can only change name every 10 years, but our girl Bunny doesn’t care =)

It seems being a bit odd can make anybody have their fifteen minutes of fame. The other really funny celebrity of this kind I heard of this weekend is Nick Pitera, who can sing this Aladdin duet all by himself. It’s kind of cool. Have a look for yourself.


Technology at Partys

My brother had a party in Västerås yesterday. He has just bought a new apartment and invited some old friends of ours. It was awesome to see these people, as always. The gathering was a pretty conventional one. We met up, ate dinner and dessert and then we drank alcohol to two o’clock in the morning. We did it the way people always have. But then, something happened who got me thinking on how technology sometimes changes our behavior. My childhood friend Jon showed me this new iPhone of his. I played around with it for a good half hour. I was impressed! It is truly the supergadget of today. My friend also brought Singstar and Guitarhero, and so, we sang karaoke and competed playing the plastic toy guitar. I completely sucked, even though I play the guitar for real. My friend hesitated a bit, bringing these stuff, thinking some of the married, religious people in my brother’s old med class would think he was silly, but we all had a blast in the end. I wonder what kind of party gadgets we’ll have in the future. Today, the industry for toys is something one associates with kids, primarily. In the future, maybe we’ll see a lot more of things like Singstar and Guitarhero, marketed to grown ups.

Saturday, October 11, 2008

The Future is Bright, After All

There isn’t much of the course left, and I must say all this thinking about the future has gotten me in a sort of overall optimistic mood. In one management course on Stockholm School of Economics, one of our teachers mentioned that in the modernistic era, nine out of ten people have this mindset that the future is much brighter than the past and those who don’t dream back to some state of the lost Eden. In that moment, I felt I belonged to the minority. Perhaps that’s why I was very, very moved by the Swedish film Farväl Falkenberg last year. You who have seen it can probably figure why. There is this little line in the film: “Jag tittar bakåt”, which I in its context thinks summarizes and opens up the whole story.



I look back at things and times way too much. I live in my past and value memories more than the moment. I miss people I had and lost. I can’t get over it. “Vad man har betyder inget, vad man mist betyder allt” to make use of another Hjalmar Söderberg quote.

But then I realize the best is still to come. Funny things happen all the time. Life takes new turns. I’ve never thought so much of the future as I’ve done the recent time. And I like it. I think we’ll make it there.

Friday, October 3, 2008

The Future Fashion World

I’ve heard that trends within fashion are no longer what they used to be. In past times, every trend in the western world had its origin in Paris, France. The trends were distinguished and lengthy. Nowadays, the fashion is said to be developed simultaneously in so many places one don’t know where to look. The era of the supermodels has diminished. Maybe the fashion houses realized it wasn’t in their economical interest to hype some models extremely more than others, having to pay the price for it afterwards. Coming to think about it, most of the famous supermodels I know are already in their end of their career or long past it: Kate Moss, Naomi Campbell, Heidi Klum, Twiggy, Cindy Crawford, Gisel Bϋndchen, Elle Macpherson, Marilyn, and so on. The supermodel as a phenomena is likely to disappear I guess.


Kate Moss still has something to offer though.

And then I found this site, which I think can be kind of symptomatic for the future fashion world, at least great parts of it.

http://stockholm.youcatwalk.com/
http://london.youcatwalk.com/

People strive for individuality. The sites YouCatwalk sites are decentralized and personalized, I think. In the future, lots of fashion labels probably will be too.

Thursday, October 2, 2008

Movietime!

Tonight, the whole class went to a cinema on Hötorget, Stockholm to watch Wall-E. It was a really pleasant initiative, I think, and it was all very enjoyable! People think I’m joking, but I’ve always loved Walt Disney films. Wall-E was quite interesting allegorical piece too, I must say. It was about this charming little “Waste Allocation Load Lifter-Earth-class”-robot who meets the love of his life – and saves the planet! For a children’s movie, it was kind of dark. One corporation had taken over the markets completely, making all the people zombielike marionettes. Wall-E is the Messiah of the story, finding a hidden piece of a plant that could make the world bloom again; enabling all the humans to return to earth. I really like the references to other movies in this one. If you want a summary of them, I found this page: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0910970/movieconnections

It’s late now, and I will go to bed. Until next time, keep the world tidy!

Wednesday, October 1, 2008

The Future Legislation on Prostitution

I think it’s fascinating how technology affects behavior and morals, and vice versa. Technology on family planning, condoms and anticonceptional pills, have changed some sexual behavioral patterns and even what sorts of relations we have to each other. This had me thinking about if there in the future will be a 100 per cent reliable anticonceptional pill or alike, that can be used by both men and women. In addition, will there be cures for all STD:s? Personally, I have no idea if that will be possible to achieve, but if it will, I’m sure it will have some effects on our behavior and sexual moral.


"How is everything in the pimp business?" - quote from Travis Bickle, the protagonist in Taxi Driver.

Legislation is seldom logic, but coming to think about it, I think it is kind of peculiar that strip clubs, telephone sex lines and pornographic movie producers are allowed on the free market (in Sweden), but not prostitutes. Don’t get me wrong – I am not suggesting that we should legalize prostitution! (I actually despise all those creepy people who want to legalize it, if you want to know the truth. To me, neo-liberalism is nothing but a slightly different form of Satanism). But I’m also saying there isn’t that much of a difference in a philosophical sense on these different areas of the sex industry. I would argue that the reason why some parts of the sex industry are legal and some are not has to do – not with logic or morality – but with filth. Prostitution is not that much more immoral than the other parts of the sex industry, but it is filthier. If there weren’t any STD:s or any unplanned, unwanted pregnancies, maybe prostitution and the way we look at prostitutes, would change. Likewise, if there weren’t any incurable venereal diseases among drug addicts’ injection needles, maybe our tolerance and respect for these people would improve as well.

With this new technology, as our society strives to be cleaner and free from filth, I think one strategy, that would imply an even more liberal legislation on the sex industry, would be to accept what one thinks one cannot change. Redefining, let’s say, prostitution into something a little more socially acceptable, such as strip clubs or pornographic movies, would make the society appear a little less filthy. It all seems a bit dystopian again, but tragically; I think this development is pretty likely to occur.

The other scenario, which I am hoping for, is that the technology will change our behavior on these matters. If our technology becomes more sophisticated, one could hope that we would be as well. Truly, that development would be really, really awesome to experience!

The Future Politicians - Cosmetics or Content of Character



I thought about the voting drama in the US on the crisis package to save the national, and more over, international financial markets. A European perspective suggests that American politicians rather make populist choices to win popularity in their personal elections, than saving the common good. Democracy is the best polity, but it is not without faults. When thinking about the future of politicians, I don’t know which way we’ll go. The accelerating information flows might suggest that we have better premises to find smart, altruistic, well-meaning politicians, but they could also suggest that we choose our politicians on basis on their looks and their rhetoric; on cosmetics, basically. In the last election for the US presidency (Kerry-Bush), the two candidates were white, middle-aged, married, supposedly heterosexual, billionaire men. As Bruno K recently said: “It is of course a great leap for a racist society such as the US to have a black president candidate, but I will not be satisfied until a homosexual Red Indian is elected." (My own translation). For cosmetics or content of character, in either way, it would be kind of cool!

Tuesday, September 30, 2008

The Future of Offices

I just came to think about how offices will look in the future; if there will be such things as offices. On my way home, I had this idea if I would start a small company, to redecorate my apartment just as an office, with a hidden bed. In bigger cities, where central housing is relatively expensive, I guess it could be an idea, if still a bit radical. It also had me think about one of my childhood apartments, where my room was a separated room from the other parts of the apartment, originally built for servants. These architectures are kind of a funny, obsolete thing, but in the future, I guess the same apartments could be used for one living and one business area. Maybe this doesn’t seem to be anything to pay the least attention to, but I still think it’s cool to see how changes in our society and our behavior have visual, concrete manifestations.


This is kind of what I had in mind, if I would redecorate my apartment to look like an office ;)

Lecture by Professor Ronald Jones

Tonight’s lecture was held by a really cool looking professor named Ronald Jones. He talked about micro trends in education and design, and the results of mono-, multi, inter- and trans disciplinary work. It seems a bit unnecessary to repeat everything he said, but if I would emphasize just one thing, it was some things he said about creativity and the birth of ideas. I’ve always wondered how you can explain the process of how you come up with ideas. To me, it seems that it is something that just appears out of nothing. In a second, you just have a business idea or such and can’t explain why. It is almost something like god given.

Professor Jones told us about how the left and right brain halves function. There seems to be a change of strategy in the brain, when one unconsciously is about to give up, to broaden the search, and when this happen, you come up with the idea that actually works. If it’s true, it says something about how brilliant the human body and mind is. To brilliant to fully grasp, even.

Monday, September 29, 2008

The Future Medicine Gadgets

I just found this kind of cool blog/website on futuristic medicine gadgets.

http://medgadget.com

Take a look! It may be something for all the medstudents in this class.

Thursday, September 25, 2008

Ideal Beauties of the Future


Today, our project group briefly – and kind of off topic – discussed what kind of ideal beauty we will have in the future. As all of us know, every different age has its own ideal beauty. Thick, thin, tall, short, pale, dark. Here are some pictures I found on Google to remind you all. As always when talking about ideal beauties, women are always in focus.


I wouldn’t say it’s fully accurate to say that the zeitgeist today is to find a sun bleached, thin blonde with silicone D-cups, tripping along the beach of Los Angeles in some skimpy, red baywatcher’s swimsuit. But I wouldn’t say it’s fully inaccurate either. To me, I think this stereotype woman looks synthetically. A long time ago, I heard of a theory that says ideal beauties have features that indicates that they don’t have any major disease. No abnormalities are common for ideal beauties. If you’d morph thousands of ordinary people’s pictures together, it would make a pretty attractive person.



Another anecdote I came to think about, when thinking about the busty, thin sunbleached blonde, is the story of Charles Darwin and the peacocks. Darwin was said to be puzzled by these birds and their long beautiful tails. At first, he couldn’t see how they fitted into his evolutionary theory. He then talked about sexual selection and that the long tail offered an advantage in the mating game.

I really don’t know how to think of that blonde girl. I’d say that her disproportional body doesn’t look too healthy, and therefore shouldn’t be attractive. In the future, I think the borders between health care and beauty industry will fade, and that we will do things to ourselves that make us healthy and therefore more sexually attractive. Today, the beauty industry with implants and such, imply medical risks, while in the future, such bodily modifications should start with improving the health and in that process, making you an ideal beauty. A natural beauty will be the ideal beauty of the future. I just suspect we must put a lot of effort in making ourselves look like that natural beauty though.

Finally, a tribute to my all time favourite model and actress, Marilyn Monroe. As you can see, she was not only drop dead gorgeous, she was also weight lifting from time to time and looking pretty healthy. She was actually said to be a borderline case – that is – severely mentally challenged. That's true, looks aren't everything. I’d put up with lots of crazy shit for that girl though =)

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

2001: A Space Odyssey


Today, I and my friend Philip, who you may know about now, watched 2001: A Space Odyssey, by the famous Stanley Kubrick. It was great, as always. I've seen it many times before. If you want to know what the film is about, please visit Philips blog Anacott. He wrote this very long post about it, so I will not. Blogging is all shortcuts ;)

Tuesday, September 23, 2008

Full information

Since my blog post yesterday was rather brief, I felt I ought to provide links with more information on what happened in Kauhajoki, Finland. Most of the articles provide the same information and new reporting are being done constantly.

Article by CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/europe/09/23/finland.school.shooting/index.html?eref=edition

Articles by Dagens Nyheter (Swedish):
(1) http://www.dn.se/DNet/jsp/polopoly.jsp?d=148&a=831903
(2) http://www.dn.se/DNet/jsp/polopoly.jsp?d=148&a=831835
(3) http://www.dn.se/DNet/jsp/polopoly.jsp?d=148&a=831889
(4) http://www.dn.se/DNet/jsp/polopoly.jsp?d=148&a=831863
(5) http://www.dn.se/DNet/jsp/polopoly.jsp?d=148&a=831750

Article by Al Jazeera: http://english.aljazeera.net/news/europe/2008/09/2008923141243515946.html

Article by BBC: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7630969.stm

Article by New York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/24/world/europe/24finland.html?ref=europe

Article by Financial Times: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b43bac9a-8951-11dd-8371-0000779fd18c.html

I will now leave this subject and the two young Finnish gun men. Needless to say, our deepest sympathies are with the familys of those who lost their life to this tragedy.

A New School Shooting in Finland

I was chocked when I saw the today’s headlines. Just thirteen days ago, I mentioned the tragic school shooting in Jokela, Finland. Today, yet another school shooting occurred in the same country. It seems obvious that the 22-year old culprit was heavily influenced by the last school shooting. He killed 10 people and then commited suicide. This picture was published on the website of Aftonbladet. This culprit also posted videos on YouTube prior to the shootings. Just compare it to the picture on Pekka-Eric Auvinen and you’ll see what I mean. The shooting today is awful, tragic and says something important about our contemporary world. It further suggests that it is just a matter of time until something similar will happen in Sweden.



I don’t think it’s morally uncomplicated to publish this picture. Media in general and the internet in particular, plays an important role in these dramas. I think it’s inevitable today that these pictures are being published. Our norms of these things have changed. Yet, in a way I think this can trigger other violently depressed people. I don’t have a solution on how to prevent these tragic acts of terror. I just hope this won't be a driving force for new school shootings. Tragically, I think it will.

Friday, September 19, 2008

Life's Getting Better

Yesterday the poet Bruno K. Öijer released Svart som silver (Black as Silver). It is the first book in seven years. In many bookstores, it was sold out just hours after the release. I happen to buy a copy yesterday. I just read it. I am delighted and quite surprised on how bright and cheerful this collection of poems is. What caught my attention the most in the underlying theme is the agony from the loss of a beloved woman. She’s the shadow and the light of the collection itself. These poems are poetry as it’s best – painful, passionate and yet so utterly, utterly beautiful. I usually don’t use this kind of adjectives to describe something I appreciate, but this time I can’t stress it enough. The artist seems to have come to a closure – with lost love, with all meaningless people, with all evil and, in the very last pages, even with him and how he is portrayed.

In the future, this man will be cherished as one of Sweden’s best poets of all times – på den vänstra handens fingrar.



I was in such a good mood yesterday I also bought some dope ass wine. Saturday night I plan to intoxicate my fellow trendspotter and good friend Philip. He’s a non-drinker, usually, so I am not sure if I’ll succeed. Only time will tell. ;-)

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Outcasts and Future Housing

This morning I watched a debate on SVT. The moderator was Pär Westerberg, former leader of Folkpartiet Liberalerna, now working for the Red Cross. The topic was housing for the homeless and it touched upon the complexity of the problem. Should one for instance plan for extremely plain apartments so that the people outside the common society (drug addicts, the mentally troubled, the very sick and the poor) can afford them? On the one hand, it’s naïve to think these people can do well on the unregulated market, where these people have totally other preconditions than the vast majority of people. On the other hand, such apartments would certainly be new-built ghettos. I’m not fully sure which way to go. I guess it’s a choice between making a point and making a difference. If I had to chose, I’d built the ghettos. I’m very pragmatic in that sense. I try to picture myself homeless and needing a fix just to feel alive. I’d think it would be perfectly fine with living in a ghetto at that point. Baby steps are better than no steps at all.



In order to move on, you must have a starting point somewhere. Whole societies similar to Christiana in Copenhagen might be useful and more common in the future. A ghetto is defined as: "portion of a city in which members of a minority group live especially because of social, legal, or economic pressure”. Christiana ought to be regarded as mainly a result of social pressure. Economic pressure could make rise to other types of ghettos, new-built ones. Such could reduce the threshold of getting back to a meaningful life, I think, even if we'd hope for an even better solution. At least, thinking differently is a first step of thinking better.

Sunday, September 14, 2008

I, Robot and the year of 2035

Normally being quite picky with which films I rent, yesterday evening was kind of liberating. I and Philip (friend, class-mate and source of Anacott) rented I, Robot – The Will Smith version. I’ve never read Isaac Asimov’s collection of short stories with the same title, but I assume that it is something else than this blockbuster junk. It was a good evening though, and – as planned – we had some ideas about the future.



The movie itself is basically about robot development going out of hands. The first law of the robots is to never hurt a human being. But as the robots develop their thinking, they realize that some people must be eliminated in order to maximize the safety of people. The robots go for revolution. “You are so like children – you need to be protected from yourselves”, one robot states. And then there is a very special robot, named Sonny, who has developed feelings, hopes and emotions. He has an odd, kind of cute personality. He goes to sleep and says that he had even had dreams. He resists the harsh, cold hearted rationality of the robots and becomes something like a hero.

The thing I remember the most about I, Robot is the heavy product placement for Converse, Audi, FedEx and JVC. It is so apparent, it becomes comical. At the same time, I think this kind of embedded advertising will become more common in the future. As we are flooded with advertising, we learn to neglect most of it. And therefore, public relations, corporate social responsibility and masked marketing will replace traditional marketing in the future.

What also struck me with I, Robot, is the nostalgic tone that seems normative for work in the genre. Will Smith’s character wears 2004 vintage Converse shoes, uses an old JVC system and rides a gas driven motorcycle.

If we see I, Robot as a prediction of the year 2035, we can instantly notice that it is most occupied with thinking of gadgets and yes, robots, instead of behavioral changes and other invisible trends. In the movie, almost everyone is a stereotype from today. The black old woman is the stereotype of the black old woman of today. The alpha male stereotype, the business man stereotype, the researcher stereotype – all is represented with no adjustments from how it is today. That’s why the film isn’t interesting.

And besides, in 2035 I think that Converse, JVC, FedEx and Audi are lucky if they still exist. And Hollywood blockbusters won’t probably exist either, as today. I’d love to see what I’ll be like.

Thursday, September 11, 2008

9/11

Seven years ago terrorists crashed planes into World Trade Center in New York. Five years ago the Swedish foreign minister Anna Lindh died from the stabbing the day before. Twenty-five years ago Salvador Allende was thrown over by Augusto Pinochet.

This date is a disgrace to mankind.

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Fear and Terror

My poll on which work that told us the most about the future will expire in just hours. My candidates were: Nineteen Eighty-Four, George Orwell [1948], 2001: A Space Odyssey, Stanley Kubrick [1968], Brave New World, Aldous Huxley [1932], Blade Runner, Ridley Scott [1982] and Back to the Future, Steven Spielberg [1985]. At the moment, Back to the Future is in the lead. It has two votes or 40 percent of all the votes. But it ain’t over yet.

Literature has always been my passion. I have not read that many sci-fi novels though. In yesterday’s lecture, Nicklas Bergman briefly talked about Theodore Kaczynski also known as the Unabomber (University- and airline bomber). As you may or may not know, Kaczynski was a madman and also a social critic. He went to Harvard and other universities and was a quite clever mathematician. In his manifesto Industrial Society and its Future he is very concerned that the technology of the future will erode all human freedom.


This got me thinking of the tragic high school massacre in Jokela, Finland less than a year ago. An 18-year old, confused man named Pekka-Eric Auvinen killed 8 people in November 7, 2007. He then also shot himself. The day before the occurrence, he posted a sort of “press kit” on the Internet, including this picture of him, a YouTube-clip and a manifesto on natural selection. Luckily, Sweden has yet been spared from a tragedy of this type. Unfortunately, it think it’s somewhat a question of time, until something similar will happen here. I think it’s sad that the Internet can be used by anyone to presumably get immense attention when executing these extreme terrorist acts. I really don’t want to speculate in it, but I can’t help of thinking if this young man still would shoot these people if he knew he wouldn’t get the attention he had afterwards on the Internet.

Fear of technology and progress is perhaps the most common theme in sci-fi literature and movies. I am glad that people write books and direct films instead of blowing other people in the air, to get their points across. There is something about those books that can fascinate you. Perhaps it satisfies the same psychological need that make people go rent horror movies. Perhaps it is just that simple.

I think it's time to start dreaming about a future brighter than that.



For a couple of years, I thought Nineteen Eighty-Four was one of the best books I’ve read. Today, I’d read it more as a depiction of its times and the thoughts and fears in 1948, than a prediction of our future. We always seem to be scared of the technology in the future. I think a very legitimate question is to get back and ask oneself if we can think of technologies in the past that makes us worried, and that we want to have undone. Except for the atom bomb, I can’t think of many, at least not on the whole. Even if the future can’t be predicted from the past, I think this way of thinking indicates that our fears are most often over-exaggerated.

I think that it is inevitable that we will be fully controlled and monitored in the future, resembling what is happening in Nineteen Eighty-Four. But I’m not sure this will be done in a mean spirited way as in the same book. Really. I’m not sure at all it will be something negative. I think it will reduce the incentives to commit crimes and make us all very safe. Perhaps your Big Brother can be your very best friend.

Tuesday, September 9, 2008

All We Need Is Love

I woke up to a television program on UR, SVT. I don’t know what the name of the program was, but it was quite interesting. The theme of the documentary seemed to be about language and the origin of man. There were some stuff about Lucy and the first humans. I think I now have come to a stage where I think of the future with a very selective perception. When I saw the program this morning I thought not of the monkey-people long time ago, but how their behavior can make us predict the very distant future.



Yesterday, when eating sushi to lunch with my group members, I once said that our morals and behavior change dramatically over time. Even short time. For you who know Swedish I’d like to quote Hjalmar Söderberg’s Doktor Glas:

”Moralen hör till husgerådet, inte till gudarna. Den skall begagnas; den skall inte härska. Och den skall begagnas med urskillning, ‘med ett litet saltkorn’. Det är klokt att ta seden dit man kommer; det är enfaldigt att göra det med övertygelse. Jag är en resande i världen; jag ser på människornas seder och tar upp vad jag har bruk för. Och moral kommer av ”mores”, seder; den vilar helt och hållet på seden, bruket; den har ingen annan grund.”

I will not try to translate this into English, since I couldn’t do it righteous. Even with the ongoing globalization, I think most people will have one native tongue; usually the language we first are accustomed to as newborns. To me, all languages have different tones. Translations never tell you everything. At its best, it tells you the same thing in a different way. If I’d try to say what the Swedish quote was about, in its essence, I would say that it learns us that morals do not reflect what is right and wrong, but what is said to be right and wrong.

To get back to the sushi lunch, I told my group mates that even our great grandfathers and great grandmothers would think we are all sluts, if they would see us all today, sometimes changing boy- and girlfriends as often as we buy new shoes. I have always been somewhat puzzled by how most Swedish people do not believe in God, but as the same time go to church to marry the man or woman they love; swearing to love this person in eternity in front of this God they don’t believe in. There is a very funny dialogue in the L'Étranger by Albert Camus. The protagonist’s girlfriend asks him if he loves her. “I don’t think so”. “Will you marry me?” she then asks. “Sure”. The really funny thing is, I don’t know who he most weird, him or us.

I’m not a religious man, but I have always loved the idea of monogamy. For some years, I have questioned this, thinking I have just been indoctrinated by some obsolete religious brain wash. That’s why I was so delighted this morning, when I heard about the homo erectus. They were the first human species that lived in pairs, long before religion.

“Man ska inte vara ensam. Man ska inte vara många. Man ska vara två”,
Hjalmar Söderberg once said.

I think about the monkey-people, living together two and two thousands of years ago. That’s why we’ll still live in pairs with the person we love, after all religion is gone. We don’t need it. All we need is love.

Saturday, September 6, 2008

The Future of Drugs

Yesterday, I saw the movie Spun from 2002 directed by Jonas Åkerlund. It deals with a couple of methamphetamine junkies and includes some strong language, violence and pervasive drug content. I saw it with my brother who visited me for the weekend. Since he is a physician, I asked him what he thought about the future of medicine. He thought that we, in the future, will have individually composed medicines. It is a lot happening in the research of medicine every day. The specializations a doctor can choose from are presently based on organ specific topics. In the future these specializations will most likely be interconnected. In the near future, there will also probably be instruments regulating the dosage to be perfect within the body. In longer terms, one vision is that hospitals will be unnecessary, since medical care will shift to only preventive measures.



This morning, there was a documentary on SVT about people diagnosed with ADHD. Today, such people are treated with small doses of amphetamine. Even though the dose is about 1/50 what an amphetamine addict takes, the treatment is pretty controversial. Not only ADHD, but many other diagnoses, are treated with medicine, which are classified as narcotics if not prescribed by a doctor.

Why is it so that same chemical substances are considered to be either poison or medicine? Looking at the Swedish and English version of Wikipedia, I’ve found that the definition and classification of narcotic drugs differ between languages. What constitutes the belief that a substance is either something hurtful or something helpful? Is it the side effects, the social effects, or maybe only our current traditions? I would say that it is a difficult question with many legal, ethic and technological considerations to reflect upon. It will, more importantly, be a bigger topic in the future as our medical opportunities expand.



Today, the use of another group of medicine, antidepressants, increases. It is not only used to treat major depressions but also anxiety disorders, bipolar disorder, obsessive compulsive disorder, eating disorders, and chronic pain. What is legitimate to treat with medicine? Technology will certainly advance in the future. The question is, will our ethics also change?

Thursday, September 4, 2008

Our Perception of the World

I started reading Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s The Black Swan today; The New York Times Bestseller dealing with everything we know about we don’t know. Taleb gives the impression of a talented and well-read author. A smart guy, basically. Reading just the first chapters gets you going. One basic point in Taleb’s reasoning is that anything can happen. History does not crawl, it makes jumps. The future cannot longer be predicted from past times experiences.

“I had been told in high school that the planets are in something called equilibrium, so we did not need to worry about the stars hitting us unexpectedly. To me, that eerily resembled the stories we were told about the “unique historical stability” of Lebanon. The very idea about assumed equilibrium bothered me. I looked at the constellation at the sky and did not know what to believe”. (Taleb, 2007).

It’s kind of a scary thought, indeed. If you really come to think about it, it seems more likely than ever that we’re all going to fall victim to some mass destruction weapon fired by some powerful lunatic in Extremistan. People have always had such dystopian fears, even in the most idyllic environments. And since we’re still all happy and alive, such fears and claims seem presently kind of stupid. I guess it will all be a big surprise for us when the bomb blows =)



Anyway, we talked, amongst other things, about visible and invisible trends on today’s lecture. It was said that invisible trends have greater impact than visible ones. When thinking about the future, people mainly think at gadgets and technology, rather than behavioral changes. Behavioral and taste-based changes seem harder to predict, but far more interesting, I think. If you look at paintings from Filippo Tommaso Marinetti, you’ll notice that most of his ideas about the future concerns technology, movement and machines; instead of human beings. The futurists are already a bit old-fashioned in that sense, I guess.

Finally, I came to think about how our perception of the world changes quite literary. Have a look at a couple of these old world maps and see what I mean.





Wednesday, September 3, 2008

A Tribute to the Imagination of Man

I just got back from another course taught by the Stockholm School of Entrepreneurship, called Ideation. The courses seem, partially, connected. This was one of the pictures shown in the lecture, a one wheel motorcycle invented by a young fellow at MIT.



You’ll probably kill yourself if you try to ride one of those, but I like the picture as such. It challenges our way of thinking about what a motorcycle is. It’s very beautiful, in that sense.

Development requires dissidents.

That is always worth remembering. And I’ll come back to that later. Meanwhile, enjoy one of the best songs ever written as a tribute to the imagination of man.

Back to the Future

Today will be the beginning of this trend spotting and future thinking blog. You random reader, ending up here by chance or destined, should know I was put under the obligation to start this blog for a future thinking course taught at Konstfack, Stockholm, Sweden. Nevertheless, it’ll be a fun opportunity to let loose of some of my crazy ideas about the future and let you all know about it.

At this point, all I really know about the future is that it is unpredictable. Still, I don’t thing blogging about it is contradictory. I think it is a perfectly logical and inevitable thing to do. Curiosity and imagination is what makes us different from the dead. Man is allegedly the only animal that thinks about the future. It is what makes us great.

Futurum exaktum is a verb tense in the Swedish language, expressing something completed in the future. “It will be like that in 2010”.



Since the future is so highly unpredictable, almost any statement about it should be bold and brave. Even the most well known and visionary predictions about our future tend to be partially comical over time. Just a few years after the real 1984, the Berliner Mauer fell, probably making the world more open that it had ever been. In Ridley Scott’s Blade Runner from 1982, people fly spaceships and make phone calls from phone booths. In all times, man thinks of himself as very visionary while in retrospect being kind of narrow-minded. Therefore, I think the most outrageous ideas about the future often can be the most reasonable.

Our way of thinking, our preferences and our minds are constantly changing. Horace Engdahl, the guy who announces who won the Nobel Prize in literature each year, claims in Meteorer (1999): “As Charles Rosen has stressed, there is no audience for past time’s popular music. Just the odd ones survive. We don’t listen to the charming Moscheles but Beethoven, who once was considered odd on the verge to inaccessible”. [My own crummy translation].

As I said, I think that the most outrageous ideas often are the most reasonable. Hence, I hope to be able to come up with some really crazy shit during the coming weeks. I promise to come back to you as soon as I can. Please come back! You’re utmost welcome! =)